Navy vs Air Force 10/2/2010

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Air Force is a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat Navy. Jared Tew is projected for 118 rushing yards and a 58% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where Navy wins, Ricky Dobbs averages 0.31 TD passes vs 0.39 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.14 TDs to 0.46 interceptions. Gee Gee Greene averages 86 rushing yards and 0.67 rushing TDs when Navy wins and 78 yards and 0.35 TDs in losses. Air Force has a 41% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AF -9.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

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